According to an April report by J.P. Morgan, the probability of a recession hitting the United States before the end of the year is 60%. Experts point to President Donald Trump’s trade tariffs, which ...

Polymarket and Kalshi traders' perceived probability of a recession this year has plunged recently. Both prediction markets surged in popularity after users called Trump's election win in November.

Stocks dropped sharply last week after a key recession signal flashed for the first time since before the global financial crisis in 2007.

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