A humped yield curve is a relatively rare type of yield curve that results when the interest rates on medium-term fixed income securities are higher than the rates of both long and short-term ...
Bull Steepening All yields fall, with short-term yields likely falling faster. Bond prices rise across the board. When the ...
When the US Treasury yield curve inverts (short rates rise above long rates) the shift is widely viewed as a reliable forecast that a recession is near. The curve has been inverted since July 2022, ...
Discover how constant maturity impacts Treasury yields, mortgages, and swaps. Learn the role it plays in financial decisions ...
The Federal Reserve seems poised to cut interest rates soon, and fear of a recession is one driver why the central bank would want to slash borrowing costs. Steven Goldstein is based in London and ...
Two years ago, the yield curve inverted, meaning short-term interest rates on treasury bonds were unusually higher than long term rates. When that's happened in the past, a recession has come. A key ...
There’s been a major change in one of the bond market’s favorite indicators: the yield curve. After roughly two years of “inversion,” yields are now behaving like they do most of the time, with longer ...
Bond traders loaded up wagers on a popular strategy favoring short-end Treasuries over longer-dated debt after an unexpected uptick in November unemployment added to mixed signals clouding the outlook ...
After a little over two years, the yield curve is back to normal. That is to say, interest rates on longer-term bonds are once again higher than the interest rates of shorter-term bonds like two-year ...